BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
North Carolina
Class: 1 Class Rank: 16 Overall: (28-8) Overall Strength = 63.81
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (15-5) | District: 1-01 Record: (17-7)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 63.34 90 42 1 312 ( 9-20) NC Central -0.35 * 48.35
2 11-06-2025 Home W 60.50 71 37 1 231 (16-16) Elon -3.19 * 37.19
3 11-13-2025 Neutral L * 64.21 60 78 1 2 (35- 1) UCLA 0.52 -18.52
4 11-15-2025 Neutral W 61.61 82 68 1 58 (28- 5) Fairfield -2.08 16.08
5 11-20-2025 Away W 64.04 85 50 1 262 (12-18) NC A&T 0.35 * 34.65
6 11-23-2025 Home W 69.05 94 48 1 270 (14-16) UNC Greensboro 5.36 * 40.64
7 11-27-2025 Neutral W 86.73 83 48 1 55 (27- 7) S Dakota St 23.04 11.96
8 11-28-2025 Neutral W * 62.66 85 73 1 54 (19-18) Kansas St -1.03 13.03
9 11-29-2025 Neutral W * 69.36 80 63 1 51 (25- 8) Columbia 5.67 11.33
10 12-04-2025 Away L * 69.42 64 79 1 4 (35- 3) Texas 5.73 -20.73
11 12-07-2025 Home W 63.04 82 40 1 282 (11-20) Boston Univ -0.65 * 42.65
12 12-14-2025 Home L * * 53.50 66 76 1 1 8 (29- 8) Louisville -10.19 0.19
13 12-17-2025 Home W 64.82 84 34 1 319 ( 7-24) UNC Wilmington 1.13 * 48.87
14 12-21-2025 Home W 32.28 93 74 1 338 ( 8-22) Charleston So -31.41 * 50.41
15 12-29-2025 Away W * * 84.36 90 39 1 199 ( 5-26) Boston College 20.66 * 30.34
16 01-01-2026 Home W * * 64.83 71 55 1 50 (21-15) California 1.14 14.86
17 01-04-2026 Home L * * 43.79 71 77 1 1 45 (21-14) Stanford -19.90 13.90
18 01-11-2026 Away L * * 42.21 50 73 1 20 (25-11) Notre Dame -21.49 -1.51
19 01-15-2026 Home W * * 58.72 73 62 1 52 (18-15) Miami FL -4.97 15.97
20 01-18-2026 Away W * * 72.03 82 55 1 107 (10-21) Florida St 8.34 18.66
21 01-22-2026 Away W * * 57.21 54 46 1 66 (14-19) Georgia Tech -6.49 14.49
22 01-25-2026 Home W * * 57.25 77 71 1 1 40 (24- 9) Syracuse -6.44 12.44
23 02-02-2026 Away W * * 64.93 61 59 1 29 (21-11) NC State 1.24 0.76
24 02-05-2026 Home W * * 59.69 53 44 1 41 (21-12) Clemson -4.00 13.00
25 02-08-2026 Away W * * 69.08 84 56 1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest 5.39 22.61
26 02-12-2026 Home W * 80.11 94 42 1 191 ( 9-21) SMU 16.42 * 35.58
27 02-15-2026 Away L * * 67.22 68 72 1 9 (27- 9) Duke 3.52 -7.52
28 02-19-2026 Away W * * 59.77 66 63 1 1 35 (23-10) Virginia Tech -3.92 6.92
29 02-22-2026 Home W * * 52.37 78 50 1 239 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh -11.32 * 39.32
30 02-26-2026 Away W * * 70.18 82 70 1 39 (22-12) Virginia 6.48 5.52
31 03-01-2026 Home W * * 70.85 74 69 1 9 (27- 9) Duke 7.16 -2.16
32 03-06-2026 Neutral W * * 71.09 85 68 1 35 (23-10) Virginia Tech 7.40 9.60
33 03-07-2026 Neutral L * * 58.18 57 65 1 8 (29- 8) Louisville -5.51 -2.49
34 03-20-2026 Home W 69.19 82 51 1 99 (26- 6) W Illinois 5.50 25.50
35 03-22-2026 Home W * 70.95 74 66 1 13 (24- 9) Maryland 7.26 0.74
36 03-27-2026 Neutral L 64.31 42 63 1 1 (38- 0) Connecticut 0.62 -21.62
Averages 63.69 74.6 59.1
Best game: 86.73 = 35 point win over S Dakota St
Worst game: 32.28 = 19 point win over Charleston So
Team stdev: 10.60