BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina
Class: 1 Class Rank: 18 Overall: (26-7) Overall Strength = 62.81
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (15-5) | District: 1-01 Record: (16-7)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 63.31 90 42 1 312 ( 9-19) NC Central 0.42 * 47.58
2 11-06-2025 Home W 60.55 71 37 1 230 (15-15) Elon -2.35 * 36.35
3 11-13-2025 Neutral L * 64.20 60 78 1 2 (31- 1) UCLA 1.30 -19.30
4 11-15-2025 Neutral W 61.28 82 68 1 57 (28- 4) Fairfield -1.62 15.62
5 11-20-2025 Away W 63.56 85 50 1 265 (12-17) NC A&T 0.67 * 34.33
6 11-23-2025 Home W 68.87 94 48 1 271 (14-16) UNC Greensboro 5.97 * 40.03
7 11-27-2025 Neutral W 86.91 83 48 1 54 (27- 6) S Dakota St 24.02 10.98
8 11-28-2025 Neutral W * 62.88 85 73 1 52 (18-17) Kansas St -0.02 12.02
9 11-29-2025 Neutral W * 65.34 80 63 1 64 (20- 7) Columbia 2.45 14.55
10 12-04-2025 Away L * 67.57 64 79 1 4 (31- 3) Texas 4.67 -19.67
11 12-07-2025 Home W 62.57 82 40 1 281 (11-20) Boston Univ -0.33 * 42.33
12 12-14-2025 Home L * * 54.07 66 76 1 1 8 (27- 7) Louisville -8.82 -1.18
13 12-17-2025 Home W 64.17 84 34 1 322 ( 6-23) UNC Wilmington 1.27 * 48.73
14 12-21-2025 Home W 32.04 93 74 1 332 ( 8-22) Charleston So -30.85 * 49.85
15 12-29-2025 Away W * * 83.93 90 39 1 203 ( 5-26) Boston College 21.04 * 29.96
16 01-01-2026 Home W * * 64.78 71 55 1 49 (19-14) California 1.88 14.12
17 01-04-2026 Home L * * 44.42 71 77 1 1 41 (19-13) Stanford -18.48 12.48
18 01-11-2026 Away L * * 40.96 50 73 1 25 (22-10) Notre Dame -21.94 -1.06
19 01-15-2026 Home W * * 58.45 73 62 1 53 (17-14) Miami FL -4.45 15.45
20 01-18-2026 Away W * * 71.70 82 55 1 107 (10-21) Florida St 8.81 18.19
21 01-22-2026 Away W * * 56.87 54 46 1 67 (14-18) Georgia Tech -6.02 14.02
22 01-25-2026 Home W * * 57.22 77 71 1 1 39 (23- 8) Syracuse -5.68 11.68
23 02-02-2026 Away W * * 64.59 61 59 1 29 (20-10) NC State 1.70 0.30
24 02-05-2026 Home W * * 59.26 53 44 1 40 (21-11) Clemson -3.63 12.63
25 02-08-2026 Away W * * 69.55 84 56 1 109 (14-17) Wake Forest 6.66 21.34
26 02-12-2026 Home W * 79.91 94 42 1 190 ( 9-21) SMU 17.01 * 34.99
27 02-15-2026 Away L * * 66.37 68 72 1 12 (24- 8) Duke 3.47 -7.47
28 02-19-2026 Away W * * 59.55 66 63 1 1 35 (23- 9) Virginia Tech -3.34 6.34
29 02-22-2026 Home W * * 52.07 78 50 1 240 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh -10.82 * 38.82
30 02-26-2026 Away W * * 68.88 82 70 1 44 (19-11) Virginia 5.99 6.01
31 03-01-2026 Home W * * 70.07 74 69 1 12 (24- 8) Duke 7.18 -2.18
32 03-06-2026 Neutral W * * 70.91 85 68 1 35 (23- 9) Virginia Tech 8.01 8.99
33 03-07-2026 Neutral L * * 58.72 57 65 1 8 (27- 7) Louisville -4.17 -3.83
Averages 62.90 75.4 59.0
Best game: 86.91 = 35 point win over S Dakota St
Worst game: 32.04 = 19 point win over Charleston So
Team stdev: 10.86